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List of Flash News about prediction market arbitrage

Time Details
2025-09-12
02:58
USDH Bid Mechanism Insight: Validator Votes Not Final; Polymarket Paxos Odds Seen as Pessimistic, 2.5x Flip Reported

According to @peterhch, USDH’s bid mechanism means validator vote results are not the final resolution because stakers can restake to validators they believe in after the vote, creating a post-vote repricing window, source: @peterhch on X (Sep 12, 2025). He states that Polymarket odds on Paxos immediately after validator vote results were overly pessimistic, suggesting short-term mispricing, source: @peterhch on X (Sep 12, 2025). He reports taking the Paxos side on Polymarket during that window and achieving an easy 2.5x flip, highlighting a timing-based trading setup around governance events, source: @peterhch on X (Sep 12, 2025).

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